July has historically been altcoin season's favorite month
Historical price data shows Chainlink, Cardano, and XRP have posted consistent gains in July. Here is what the seasonal pattern looks like heading into the month.
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A Recurring Pattern in the Data
For traders watching the calendar, July has a habit of rewarding altcoin holders. Historical price data highlighted by @BSCNews shows that $LINK has averaged a gain of +15.8% during the month, closing green in six of the past eight Julys. $ADA has averaged +11.2% over the same period, finishing in positive territory in six of the last nine years, including a +29.3% move last July. $XRP, meanwhile, has not printed a red July candle since 2020, according to The Crypto Basic.
These are not trivial sample sizes. Across three of the largest altcoins by market capitalisation, the data points to a consistent seasonal tendency that has persisted through multiple market cycles, including both bear and bull years.
Broader Market Context Adds Weight
The seasonal case for altcoins this July is not standing alone. The Altcoin Season Index crossed 75 on July 8, with 36 out of the top 50 altcoins gaining over 25% in the past 90 days, while the total altcoin market cap found support near $1.05 trillion on July 5 before rebounding. According to CoinMarketCap, a reading above 75 on that index, meaning 75% of the top 100 coins outperforming Bitcoin over the prior 90 days, is the standard definition of altcoin season.
Capital rotation dynamics are also shifting. Bitcoin dominance shows Bitcoin's share of total crypto market capitalisation, and declining dominance often precedes strong altcoin performance as capital rotates into smaller alternatives. That rotation appears to be underway.
As always, seasonal patterns are a guide, not a guarantee. Past performance tells you what has happened, not what will. Risk management remains essential, and broader macro conditions, regulatory developments, and liquidity can all override any historical tendency. But for $LINK, $ADA, and $XRP, July has historically earned its reputation.
Sources:
CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index
BeInCrypto: Altcoin Boom in July? Historical Patterns Suggest a Breakout Is Coming
CoinTrust: What is Altcoin Season? When is Altseason in July 2025?
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Author
Ben AntesBen is the Financial Manager at BSCN and one of the four founding team members. Holding a Master of Business Administration (MBA), he combines a strong foundation in finance and business strategy with a deep passion for decentralized finance. A self-proclaimed yield farming "guru," Ben spends his time researching the latest DeFi projects, dissecting tokenomics, and exploring emerging opportunities across the crypto landscape — bridging traditional financial expertise with the fast-moving world of Web3.