Polymarket'S "Us Forces Enter Iran" Contract Hits 100% With $193m In Total Volume
@Polymarket's "US forces enter Iran by April 30" prediction market has reached 100% and is now "In Review" for resolution. The contract has drawn $193 million in total volume, with $101 million on the April 30 expiry alone. Yes shares last traded at 99.6 cents.
The order book shows over $15.9 million in asks stacked between 99.6 and 99.9 cents, with the market treating US ground entry into Iran as a resolved outcome. A related contract asking "will another country conduct military action against Iran by April" sits at 27%.
The contract is the largest geopolitical prediction market of 2026 and one of the highest-volume single contracts in Polymarket's history. It follows weeks of escalating US-Israel strikes since Operation Epic Fury launched on February 28.


