BNB Chain-based Prediction Market Probable Launches Points Program

Probable, an onchain prediction market platform built on BNB Chain and incubated by PancakeSwap and YZi Labs, has introduced its Points Program to reward user participation and contributions. 

The program went live on January 12, following the platform's rapid growth to over $300 million in prediction volume within less than 20 days of its December 18, 2025 launch. This initiative aims to encourage ongoing engagement by tying points to future benefits, with the referral system as its initial component.

The launch aligns with Probable's focus on creating a user-driven ecosystem where traders can bet on real-world events, from elections to sports outcomes, using cryptocurrency. By implementing this rewards structure, the platform seeks to build long-term loyalty among its community, which has shown strong early adoption.

Overview of the Points Program

The Probable Points Program operates as a multi-track system that values different forms of involvement, such as trading and community building. Points accumulate without resets, ensuring that all activity from the platform's inception contributes to a user's total. This design emphasizes sustained participation over short-term actions, and the program uses configurable weights to distribute points across various tracks dynamically.

For instance, points earned today will factor into upcoming distributions and perks as the ecosystem evolves. Probable has already begun tracking activity retroactively for users who joined before the program's official rollout, with specific details on these allocations set to be released soon. This retroactive approach acknowledges the contributions of early adopters, who helped propel the platform's initial volume surge.

Overall, the program positions points as a foundation for rewards, though exact benefits remain tied to future announcements. Users can view their progress through a dashboard on the Probable website, providing transparency in how points are tallied and applied.

How Does the Referral Program Work?

As the first active track, the Referral Program allows users to earn points by bringing others into the ecosystem. To get started, participants must complete trades totaling at least $100 on Probable, which unlocks a unique referral link or code. This threshold ensures that referrers are active traders themselves.

Once obtained, the link can be shared with friends or other potential users. When a referred individual begins trading, the original referrer receives 10% of the points generated by that person's activity. Importantly, the referred user retains all of their own points, creating a non-competitive incentive structure. There is no cap on the number of referrals, and connections remain permanent, meaning ongoing trades from referees continue to yield benefits over time.

Points in this program stem from PnL-weighted volume, which factors in both the amount traded and the profitability of those trades. This method rewards skilled participation rather than sheer quantity. Calculations occur in weekly epochs, with distributions happening every Monday at 00:00 UTC. For the inaugural week, Probable has allocated 50,000 points specifically for referrals, setting a baseline for early involvement.

Users can monitor earnings per referee directly in their dashboard, adding a layer of detail to track performance. 

How Does it Benefit Early Participants?

Early users stand to gain the most from the Points Program, as accumulated points establish a strong position for forthcoming expansions. Those who supported Probable prior to January 12, 2026, have had their activities logged since the platform's launch date. Probable has confirmed that eligible individuals will receive corresponding rewards, with full guidelines expected in the near term.

This retroactive tracking addresses community feedback, as seen in responses to user inquiries about prior transactions. By honoring initial contributions, the program builds trust and motivates continued activity. For new joiners, starting now means points begin accruing immediately, without any loss from delayed entry.

In practical terms, these points could unlock access to exclusive features, airdrops, or other incentives as the platform matures. The emphasis on permanence—no resets or expirations—encourages users to view their involvement as an investment in the ecosystem's growth.

Future Developments and Participation

Probable plans to introduce additional tracks soon, each targeting specific aspects of engagement like trading proficiency or content creation. These expansions will broaden earning opportunities, with weights adjusted to reflect the platform's priorities. As more features roll out, early accumulators will likely benefit from compounded advantages.

To participate, users can visit probable.markets/points to connect their wallet, check eligibility, and generate a referral link after meeting the trading requirement. The platform's Discord and X channels offer community support for questions, while official Medium posts provide in-depth guides.

This launch marks a step forward for Probable in integrating rewards with its core prediction market functions on BNB Chain. 

Sources:

• _{Probable on X: Points Program Launch Announcement.}
• _{Probable on Medium: Introducing the Referral Program.}
• _{Probable on Medium: Introducing the Points Program.}