by BSCN
June 27, 2022
The crypto market does not look like it is poised for a break to the upside after various crypto-based entities reveal liquidity issues.
Bitcoin ($BTC) is staying above the important $20k support, preventing the crypto market from sliding further, but all eyes are on the Federal Reserve (Fed) as they balance the fragile US economy that is on the brink of a recession.
The Fed is making a dangerous move by adjusting the US monetary policy based on Consumer Price Index (CPI), a weak indicator based on a knee-jerk response.
Apart from the macro economy, the crypto market is faced with bigger issues that can be summarized as follows:-
The decentralized economy suffers from a transitional dilemma. Without centralized entities, there is a lack of accountability. But, excessive risk-taking by centralized entities like Celsius and BlockFi, exposes users' funds to unnecessary risk.
The team in Celsius is reassuring its depositors that they are not insolvent but are facing liquidity issues. This is deeply concerning because one of the most important assurances to depositors is the availability of funds to draw down when required. Failure to do so is akin to transferring risk to their depositors. In this case, even a high yield is insufficient to compensate for the risk exposure.
Depositors could face liquidation for failing to top-up collateral despite having the funds to do so. This is bad risk management at the expense of its community. The facade of a safe haven for depositors is a farce.
The market is still reeling from the aftershocks of Terra's collapse. Many institutions such as Celsius, Binance, and Three Arrows Capital are some of the victims of the meltdown. Binance’s limited exposure to $LUNA and $UST is probably a result of proper risk management, which could have been disastrous if Binance had done otherwise.
Depositors lured by the high yields on Celsius are now faced with the risk of losing their deposits. This raises a very pertinent issue: Are centralized platforms safe and transparent?
Miners are also offloading their Bitcoins in a defensive move in the event the price dips further. The bottom line is to ensure that operating costs can be covered.
Market sentiment is still low, and retail investors will be unlikely participants at this stage. There may be a buy signal that everyone is looking for if a strong upsurge follows another significant dip.
This tweet by Changpeng Zhao (CZ), the CEO of Binance, also suggests that investors might be looking at offloading their Bitcoin holdings in the immediate future. Huge inflows into the exchange are indications of the intention to offload.
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